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Recession Indicators: 5 Real Ways Marketers Can Respond to a Rocky Economy

Published on Apr 16, 2025

Recession Indicators: 5 Real Ways Marketers Can Respond to a Rocky Economy
Anastasia Dyakovskaya
Anastasia Dyakovskaya studioID

Recent tariff escalations and geopolitical uncertainty have rattled markets, with the S&P 500 shedding 10% in just two days earlier this month. And as if that weren’t enough, amid growing unease about the direction in which this country’s economy is headed, Time reports that 

Consumer confidence has dropped more than 30% since November. 

With slowing investments, longer sales cycles, and shrinking advertising budgets, the pressure is mounting for B2B marketers. But when times get tough, don’t panic, prioritize. 

As we’ve seen in the past, economic downturns don’t necessarily freeze all opportunity — they just demand smarter, sharper marketing strategies. Brands that get smarter with data, double down on value, and lead with empathy can weather the storm and maybe even come out stronger on the other side. Read on to see how marketers are adapting in 2025 and what you can do to make sure every dollar counts.

Recession Indicator A: Decline in B2B Discretionary Spending

What’s Happening

Earnest Analytics found that February 2025 saw a 3.4% year-over-year drop in U.S. consumer spending. That trend is rippling into the B2B space, where buyers are trimming budgets and pushing back on anything that feels non-essential. From delayed renewals to canceled pilots, marketers are feeling the squeeze. Add in the long tail of pandemic-driven inflation and debt, and finance teams are more cautious than ever.

What’s Worked in the Past

In the wake of the 2008 financial crisis, many marketers who continued to invest in relationship-building and value-driven messaging gained long-term loyalty. Tweaking messaging to emphasize the positive benefits that come with the brand’s products and services helped these brands stay top of mind when spending returned. On the flip side, brands that over-indexed on promotions often struggled to maintain margins when the economy rebounded.

What to Do Now

Lead with ROI. Make your value unmistakable and measurable. Show the numbers, tell the stories, and arm your teams with all the internal ammo they need to defend the spend. Sales enablement tools like ROI calculators, customizable slide decks, and procurement-ready one-pagers can make the difference between a “yes” and a “maybe.” Finally, consider lowering the entry barrier: free trials, scaled-down tiers, and usage-based pricing can nudge cautious buyers over the line.

Related Reading: Report Looks at Consumer Expectations of Brands on Social in 2025

Recession Indicator B: Shrinking Ad Budgets

What’s Happening

According to the Wall Street Journal, U.S. ad spend is projected to fall by 5.8% this year. That means CMOs are in defense mode. Tariff chaos and political whiplash are making it impossible to plan long-term, so marketers are shifting budgets on the fly and focusing on channels that can prove value fast. 

What’s Worked in the Past

During the early days of COVID, brands scrambled to cut paid media and boost digital channels overnight. The ones who already had a strong organic presence, a solid email list, and a clear content strategy didn’t just survive — they grew. Brands that disappeared to save money lost ground never recovered. Investing in visibility when everyone else went quiet created outsized returns.

What to Do Now

Go lean, not dark. Focus on high-impact, lower-cost channels like organic content, email, SEO, webinars, and strategic partnerships. Lean into account-based marketing (ABM) to prioritize only the highest-intent accounts. Test new platforms in small batches before you scale, and be relentless about measuring performance.

Related Reading: Ads Next to Controversial News Articles: Here’s What the Numbers Say

Recession Indicator C: Pullback in Hiring and Investments

What’s Happening

As growth takes a backseat to risk mitigation, innovation budgets are drying up, and nice-to-haves are getting sidelined. From the Fortune 500 to mid-market players, companies are slowing their hiring and freezing big initiatives while SMBs prepare to navigate the fallout from escalating tariffs. 

What’s Worked in the Past

As inflation spiked and interest rates climbed in 2022 post-pandemic, many companies paused headcount expansion and deferred strategic investments. But certain categories like automation, data security, and tools that improved operational efficiency continued to see funding. 

What to Do Now

Treat every current customer like they’re evaluating their renewal, because they probably are. Reframe your offering as an operational necessity by showing how your product or service keeps business moving, saves money, or mitigates risk. At the same time, invest in retention by offering extra support or add-on services to your best clients. Let their success stories shape your acquisition strategy and in turn leverage those insights to target others with similar profiles or challenges.

Future-Forward Strategies for B2B Marketers in 2025

1. Leverage Predictive Analytics to Prioritize Intent

Predictive analytics platforms help you track anonymous buying signals, score accounts based on intent, and focus resources where they’re most likely to convert. In a tight economy, that kind of accuracy is essential.

Related Reading: Lead Scoring 101: What It Is and How to Do It Well

2. Automate Personalization at Scale

AI-powered platforms now make it easier to tailor messaging by persona, account, and funnel stage, without a massive creative team. You can use these tools to dynamically tailor email nurture sequences, website experiences, and ad creative by account, industry, or even stage in the buying journey.

Related Reading: 7 Ways to Get First-Party Data for Targeting & Personalization

3. Shift Toward Conversational and Self-Guided Buying Experiences

Today’s B2B buyers expect the same ease and autonomy they get in B2C. They don’t want to fill out a form and wait three days for a follow-up call. Incorporate AI chatbots, live chat, and interactive demos into your site to let buyers educate themselves and move through the funnel on their own terms.

Related Reading: Enhancing Digital Marketing Capabilities to Achieve Better Outcomes

4. Align RevOps, Not Just Sales + Marketing

Future-forward B2B orgs are moving beyond siloed departments and embracing Revenue Operations (RevOps). Uniting marketing, sales, and customer success under one data-driven umbrella helps streamline the buyer journey, reduce friction, and identify where revenue is getting stuck.

Related Reading: 8 Tactics to Build the Ultimate Sales-Marketing Feedback Loop

5. Test Before You Scale

In an environment where every dollar counts, future-ready marketers are piloting campaigns with small cohorts before rolling out big initiatives. Think A/B testing email series with microsegments or trialing paid campaigns on niche platforms or industry-specific newsletters.

Related Reading: Content Marketing + Demand Gen Predictions for 2025 (And How to Navigate Them)